The market moved
-9.4ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?
Politics · resolves Jul 3 · vol $237.79
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.4pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.