The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 67¢
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $373.69
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 67¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the al-01 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in th — https://www.rnc.org/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 7.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.