The market moved

-0.2ppin 24h · now 93¢

Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?

Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 93¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the al-01 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in th — https://www.rnc.org/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.