The market moved
-29.7ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Jill Smith record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?
Other · resolves Jul 19 · vol $40.46
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 29.7pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.