The market moved

+13.8ppin 24h · now 96¢

Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?

Politics · resolves Aug 8 · vol $2.6K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 96¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 13.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the hi-02 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in th — https://democrats.org/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.