The market moved
+58.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?
Politics · resolves May 8 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 58.5pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://x.com/TheView/status/1917958951775224044.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.