The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Joe Grogan be Trump's HHS Secretary?

Politics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the first trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, .
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.