The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 42¢

Will Joey Chestnut Eat 70 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)

Other · open · vol $672.45

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 42¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.