Will Johannes Kaiser win between 13% and 16% of votes in the first round?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the vote share johannes kaiser wins in the first round of the 2025 chilean presidential election — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the vote share Johannes Kaiser wins in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election — https://www.servel.cl/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.