The market moved
-14.0ppin 24h · now 35¢
Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $40.12
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 35¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.0pp shift. Resolution depends on united nations — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: United Nations.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.