The market moved

-23.4ppin 24h · now

Will Josephine win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?

Entertainment · resolves Mar 14 · vol $154.90

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 23.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.oscars.org/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.