The market moved
-30.5ppin 24h · now 20¢
Will Joshua Arieh win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?
Other · open · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 30.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.wsop.com/2026-poy/poy-leaderboard/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.