The market moved
+0.1ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?
Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $968.88
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 7¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.