The market moved
+8.0ppin 24h · now 73¢
Will Justin Gaethje win the award for Best Fighter at the 2026 ESPY Awards?
Other · resolves Jul 15 · vol $222.82
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 73¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on espn.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: espn.com — https://www.espn.com/espys/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.