Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a cactus?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.3pp shift. Resolution depends on in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time — https://minecraft.wiki/w/Death_messages.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.