The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 14¢

Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by powder snow?

Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $174.42

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time — https://minecraft.wiki/w/Death_messages.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.