The market moved

+14.5ppin 24h · now 65¢

Will Kai or Speed die to a spider?

Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $485.08

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 65¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the actual mob type that caused the in-game death rather than the name displayed in the death message — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the actual mob type that caused the in-game death rather than the name displayed in the death message.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.