The market moved

-72.5ppin 24h · now

Will Kai or Speed die to a wither skeleton?

Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $1.3K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 72.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the actual mob type that caused the in-game death rather than the name displayed in the death message — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the actual mob type that caused the in-game death rather than the name displayed in the death message.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.