The market moved

-0.4ppin 24h · now

Will Kamala Harris win another state by the largest margin?

Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on by dividing the total number of votes for kamala harris and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: by dividing the total number of votes for Kamala Harris and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast .
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.