Kamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.6pp shift. Resolution depends on nielsen — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Nielsen — https://www.nielsen.com/news-center/2024/over-25-million-viewers-tune-in-for-final-night-of-2024-republican-national-convention/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.