The market moved

+28.4ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Univision town hall on October 10?

Politics · resolves Oct 10 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 28.4pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/UniNoticias/status/1842686955944902833).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.