The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Kamala win 60% of women?

Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the full release of the election pool exit poll data from cnn — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.