The market moved

-5.4ppin 24h · now

Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.