Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the first trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, .
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.