The market moved

+44.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Kathy Hochul say "Trump" 3+ times during the State of the State address?

Politics · resolves Jan 13 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 44.0pp shift. Resolution depends on governor.ny.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: governor.ny.gov — https://www.governor.ny.gov/programs/2026-state-state).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.