The market moved

-52.4ppin 24h · now

Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Politics · resolves Jan 21 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 52.4pp shift. Resolution depends on parliament.uk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: parliament.uk — https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.