The market moved

+0.1ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?

Politics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the first official announcement of the next chair of the democratic party from the democratic party — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the first official announcement of the next Chair of the Democratic Party from the Democratic Party.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.