The market moved

-15.0ppin 24h · now 60¢

Will Kevin De Bruyne score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports · resolves Jul 20 · vol $295.89

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 60¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.