The market moved
-0.4ppin 24h · now 10¢
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 3 · vol $168.52
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://www.nec.go.kr/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.