The market moved

+2.7ppin 24h · now

Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 3 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 4¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.7pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://www.nec.go.kr/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.