The market moved
-27.5ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Kirill Basin be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?
Politics · resolves Aug 8 · vol $140.90
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 27.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the hi-02 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in th — https://democrats.org/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.