The market moved
-0.2ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $240.03
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.