The market moved
-25.5ppin 24h · now 58¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?
Business · resolves Aug 1 · vol $191.39
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 58¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 25.5pp shift. Resolution depends on kraken (exchange price) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Kraken (exchange price) — https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.