The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $850.16

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-3.5pp · Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Orrery