The market moved

-0.4ppin 24h · now

Will Kylian Mbappé be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?

Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $20.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the individual ranked #1 in google’s official year in search united states "people" list for 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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