The market moved

-8.6ppin 24h · now

Will LA come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?

Politics · resolves Oct 3 · vol $228.89

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.6pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.