Will LA wildfires burn 40-50k acres by Sunday?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on department of forestry and fire protection will also count — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count — https://www.fire.ca.gov/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.