The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Labor win more seats than the Liberal-Nationals in the 2022 Australian Federal Election?
Sports · resolves May 21 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://results.aec.gov.au/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.