The market moved

+4.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Lainey Wilson win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?

Other · resolves Nov 19 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting — https://cmaawards.com/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.