The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 total revenue be above $6.9B?
Business · resolves Jul 29 · vol $19.99
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 16¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 16.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.