The market moved

-3.4ppin 24h · now 32¢

Will Larry Ellison be 3rd richest person on December 31?

Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.4pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.