The market moved

-7.0ppin 24h · now 41¢

Will Leandro Trossard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports · resolves Jul 20 · vol $467.86

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 41¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.