The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House press briefing?

Other · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.