The market moved
-10.5ppin 24h · now 78¢
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 6, 2026?
Sports · open · vol $943.29
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 78¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible sources — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible sources.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.