The market moved
-43.2ppin 24h · now 6¢
Will LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?
Sports · resolves Oct 31 · vol $1.5K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 43.2pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible sources — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible sources.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.