The market moved

-25.5ppin 24h · now 31¢

Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 3 · vol $436.34

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 31¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 25.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.