The market moved

-42.0ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will Leon Goretzka join AC Milan?

Sports · resolves Sep 2 · vol $10.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 42.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.