The market moved
+1.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will there be less than 400k rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?
Other · resolves Jan 20 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.9pp shift. Resolution depends on the total number of metrorail trips (rail only) recorded on january 20, 2025, as reported by the washington metropolitan — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the total number of Metrorail trips (rail only) recorded on January 20, 2025, as reported by the Washington Metropolitan — https://www.wmata.com/initiatives/ridership-portal/daily-summary.cfm.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.