The market moved
+11.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Liberals lead by more than 5% on April 4?
Other · resolves Apr 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the last published data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the last published data — https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.