Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 39¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on solely by the artists displayed by billboard on the relevant chart — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart — https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.