The market moved
+25.5ppin 24h · now 59¢
Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?
Politics · resolves Sep 6 · vol $73.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 59¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 25.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.